How Football Keeps Cable Cord-Cutters at Bay | Capital Group

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Investment Insights

January 2016

How Football Keeps Cable Cord-Cutters at Bay

Investment analyst Brad Barret discusses TV sports programming and how it’s being impacted by recent innovation in media distribution.

Video

Featuring

Brad Barrett
Matt Miller

Transcript

Matt Miller: When you mention sports, is sports one of the things that’s like the anchor of the traditional distribution thing and something that, because people want their live sports, they kind of have to have the cable or the satellite thing or —

Brad Barrett: Yes.

Matt Miller: — they perceive that, and that’s a piece of that monthly value that is hard for Netflix or the other disruptors to dislodge?

Brad Barrett: Yes. Absolutely. I mean, sports is, I think, the greatest example of a unique feature of the video marketplace, which is that one piece of video content very rarely acts as a good substitute for another piece of video content.

So one interesting question is, wow, there is a $90 bundle of programming —

Matt Miller: Per month?

Brad Barrett: — per month, with a whole bunch of commercials, and then there is a $9 per month in Netflix with no commercials. Why would anyone take the $90 instead of the $9? And we all intuitively know why we do this: because it’s not just about video; it’s about the specific video you want to watch.

So sports is the greatest example of this. I mean, clearly, a sports fan wants to watch sports, not just any generic piece of video, but it’s usually much more specific than that. It’s not just a sports game; it’s for instance, a football game. And really, it’s not just a football game; it’s an NFL game. And it’s not just an NFL game; it’s the Steelers game.

Matt Miller: Your team, right?

Brad Barrett: Yeah. So having exclusive access to specific pieces of video content, sports being the greatest example, are the ways in which these products remain very, very sticky to American consumers, because they just can’t get most of the stuff in that $90 bundle outside of the bundle. And sports is the biggest example, which represents about half of the content cost of media companies that make up that bundle.

Matt Miller: And so the rights go to the leagues, or etc., who own that and put on the networks, etc.? Is that how the economics work, or is that —

Brad Barrett: Well, networks license it from the leagues, and they do very long-term deals, and these are extraordinarily expensive deals. So a company like ESPN will spend — round numbers — mid-single digit billions licensing these rights. So for YouTube, which might have mid-single digit billions of revenue total, or for Netflix, the same thing, going out and buying sports rights is not realistic right now, nor would they be able to differentiate their service or, I would say, apply their strengths in that marketplace, because their strengths are “We’re on-demand” — that’s a huge strength — and “We’re no commercials,” and sports doesn’t lend itself to those as much.

So both for those reasons and the fact that it just costs an incredible amount of money, and they’re in very long-term contracts. Lots of these contracts run into the 2020s.


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